Happy Wednesday and welcome to the second official day of summer. Crimes are slowly improving and today’s list is packed with launch options. So to combat this, I have set out a breakdown by price points. Plus, from a success standpoint, there are a LOT of value options. Finally, when you consider that this is a nine-game list, make sure you amass at least four from a single team. Feel free to make it a stack of five as well. Someone will be doing ten runs today and we want the maximum possible visibility on that formation.
Baseball is a highly variable game and today is as good as any other for trying something new. Good luck!
Implied Execution Totals (IRTs)
- CHC (4.5) @ PIT (4.5) – Both sides are extremely cheap, which could cause stacking. However, unless you enter more than three entries in a contest; neither is a priority for stacking. Plus, both pitchers won’t end up in many formations, and stacking on both sides will give you very little leverage. Rather, get the one-of-a-kind pieces and rate the bats with some power.
- WSH (4.34) @ BAL (5.16) – Baltimore taking one in five IRTs? Well, they collide Patrizio Corbin. This will make me want to stack Orioles and hope they have a great day. On the other hand, Nationals were better but still not spectacular against RHP (last 30 days: 18.9% K-rate but .147 ISO and 95 wRC +). We don’t need to stack it today.
- NYY (4.06) @ TBR (3.44) – This game has the lowest O / U on the list. Until the Rays are healthy, it’s not a stack to target. Oddly enough, the Yankees don’t project well, making them a solid option for the stack. Sure, Baz looks dynamic, but would it shock us if one of the highest scoring bouts in MLB got hold of some long balls? No.
- DET (3.83) @ BOS (4.67) – Detroit is not stackable. They have been terrible for most of the year, and also Riley Greene can’t save that offense right now. On the other hand, Boston gets a challenging fight against Tarik Skubal. However, you will gain a lot of leverage if you choose to rack up against Skubal.
- SFG (4.12) @ ATL (4.38) – The tallest arm on the list is Rodón and stacking ATL against the first SP is not a smart game. Plus, stacking the Giants against Morton is risky. He’s been good lately (29: 3 K / BB), but he’s also given his share of HR. Left-handed bats hit with a 27% clip, but they also have an ISO .240. Maybe avoid the stack and get left handed one-offs.
- CLE (3.89) @ MIN (4.61) – Cleveland takes a couple of powerful clubs back into lineup and the salaries aren’t outrageous. However, they have a matchup against Sonny Gray. It’s been pretty solid this year, but if you’re looking to get some leverage, Cleveland might be interesting (just not stable). Another interesting stack could be the Twins. So much power and lately they have crushed RHP. Additionally, McKenzie is known for giving up on a lot of flying balls that result in HR.
- UST (4.25) @ MIL (4.25) – A rather interesting game. We have two SPs that aren’t terribly good for DFS purposes, so getting a lot of leverage is out the window. Hence, we would need these two offenses to destroy any chance of winning a GPP. My leaning is towards Cardinals as they kill lefties (last 30 days: 120 wRC + and .173 ISO). Wait, what about the Brewers? Avoid, Waino is exceptional at limiting offenses.
- SEA (3.97) @ OAK (3.53) – We need to seriously talk about your gambling problems if you are piling up Oakland. Seattle is a decent bout but lacks an abundance of power. Although they have a lot of left-handed bats to give Blackburn trouble; is a huge ground ball thrower. Plus, it’s a huge baseball field and it’s hard enough to hit HR.
- KCR (3.34) @ LAA (5.16) – The Angels project VERY good at this, but you won’t be able to use Ohtani since it’s launching. This will squash their stackability and make them more of a one-off lineup. Also, since the Royals clash with Ohtani, we avoid them too.
Since the list is much larger than usual, I have broken down the SP lenses by price range. Note: The price ranges are somewhat skewed compared to DraftKings. The simplest way to notice is Shohei Ohtani since he has $ 8,500 on DK and $ 10,000 on FanDuel.
The green tier includes launchers from $ 11,000-9,000 (per DK). Typically, this is the level from which to snatch your cash game SPs; however, there are so many viable launch options and that’s not the case today. Rather, consider either of these two options as the best bets in the price range.
- Carlos Rodón ($ 10.2K DK, $ 10.5K FD) is the first choice to launch on the list and when you take a look at its metrics; it’s not hard to see why. She is touting an ELITE skill of taking out hitters over the course of a ton of innings. Now, when it comes to DFS, that’s king. He draws a challenging match against ATL, which, in the last month, is getting less than 20% clips against LHP while showing off a beastly 159 wRC +. However, this is an expensive arm easily capable of scoring the highest number of points in the evening.
- Tarik Skubal ($ 9.2K DK, $ 9.6K FD) he threw stinkers back to back, and that could drive part of the pitch away. Is it tiredness? Is it the ball? However, once we get over the recent launch issues, Skubal does a lot of things we love about the DFS launch. He throws deep into games, he knocks out one hitter per inning and induces balls to the ground when contact is made.
Don’t you want to pay all that pitching salary? I don’t blame you, especially if you want to build a healthy sized stack with a sturdy attack. This is where this level comes in. Both can offer you an ace inning quality, but have some concerns.
- Shohei Ohtani ($ 8.5K DK, $ 10K FD) is priced incorrectly on DraftKings. Take advantage of it and let it play your cash games. Draw a match against a team with many strikeouts up and down the lineup and not much thud. However, everyone and their plus one sees it, so plan accordingly as it will be very chalky.
- Shane Baz ($ 8,000 DK, $ 7,200) it is an extremely risky game. For starters, we’ve only seen it for a limited time. After a nervous first start, he apparently settled down and flexed the huge strikeout potential that makes us drool. But there are questions surrounding him, will the Rays allow him to throw more than 80 pitches? And how will he support an elite offense? Well, we’ll see it today. Finally, Baz could be an intriguing pivot game for Ohtani if you’re looking to change in this price range.
This is the land of GPP launch options. In this level, there are two cheaper options to help you load expensive stacks or bats. In today’s case, we have an ABSOLUTE wildcard and a safer option.
- George Kirby ($ 6.6K DK, $ 8.8K FD) it was quite unfortunate. Its ERA 4.11 is slightly misleading because the xFIP is almost slightly lower (3.31). Also, when he lets the balls in, he is down more than 50% of the time.
- Daniel Lynch ($ 6.0K DK, $ 7.5K FD) is a wild card game. In his last time, he racked up a career record of 10 Ks. And in the beginning before then he threw seven K. Finally, the matchup? For the past 30 days, the Angels hold a 68 wRC + against LHP and a K-rate of 22% (the seventh highest in MLB). Still, they have an IRT 5.16. As I said, it is risky but it could pay off enormously.
Hit the stacks
Baltimore Oriole (vs. Patrizio Corbin) GYPSUM PASTE
- A match against Corbin is like a match at Coors Field as the field rushes to stack up against him. Earlier in the year, he teased increased speed and reverted to his usual form. However, this season has been BAD. He is walking with the left-handed bats more than just knocking them out and handing power to the hitters on both sides of the pot. In addition, the clubs are very economical and will make it easier to load when casting.
- Orioles Core Stack Goals: Cedric Mullins, Trey Mancini, Ryan Mountcastle, And Austin Hays.
Minnesota twins (vs. Triston McKenzie) SNEAKER BOX
- The twins have a decent 4.61 IRT and pick up a little leverage against McKenzie. But what really intrigued me is that the salaries (with the exception of Buxton) are all so affordable. Especially when you consider how strong contact McKenzie gives up on right-handed bats (.230 ISO). Finally, every time I manage to get the receiver into my stack, it’s an added bonus.
- Goals of the main stack of twins: Byron Buxton, Carlos Correa, Gary Sanchez, And Max Kepler.
Here are some of the best hitters not mentioned above. Also, the value players are the players with under $ 3500 on DK and under $ 3300 on FD, just a step below my cash players. Use these players to get into your lineup when you need to save some salary.
Design by JR Caines (@JRCainesDesign on Twitter and @caines_design on Instagram)